{"id":10761,"date":"2024-06-13T09:26:34","date_gmt":"2024-06-13T09:26:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.btse.com\/blog\/?p=10761"},"modified":"2024-06-18T09:08:48","modified_gmt":"2024-06-18T09:08:48","slug":"fed-meeting-outlook-whats-next-crypto-traders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.btse.com\/blog\/fed-meeting-outlook-whats-next-crypto-traders\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Meeting Outlook &#8211; What\u2019s Next for Crypto Traders?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000;\">What Happened with the Fed\u2019s June Announcement?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Traders worldwide held their breath yesterday as the Fed announced their decision and outlook for inflation and potential interest rate cuts. While the Fed kept borrowing rates at<\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/economy\/us-fed-holds-key-rates-elevated-at-23-year-high-mark-projects-one-0-25-point-reduction-in-2024-5-key-highlights-11718218461508.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> 5.25-5.5%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in line with expectations, markets were tense as traders were more focused on hearing their outlook for the rest of the year. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Fed\u2019s announcement and <\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/fed-dot-plot-suggests-central-bank-will-cut-interest-rates-one-time-in-2024-down-from-3-cuts-in-march-180721497.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">dot plot<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> confirmed that at least one rate cut will likely happen before the end of the year &#8211; eight Fed officials predicted that TWO rate cuts will happen, seven officials predicted one cut, and four predicted no cuts. With the Fed skewing towards 1-2 rate cuts, this means that more money will be circulated in the money supply and directed towards riskier assets such as stocks and crypto.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Did you hear that?<\/span><\/i><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><b><i>More money could flow towards riskier assets such as stocks and crypto.\u00a0<\/i><\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Markets ticked upwards in response, with the S&amp;P 500 rising by <\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/spx\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.85%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and Bitcoin initially jumping past $68,000 after a steep decline earlier in the week.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000;\">Crypto Traders Should Remain Cautious<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And yet some analysts say traders should remain cautious. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although the labor market looks to continue on a<\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/news\/us-federal-reserve-decision-preview-dot-plot-could-shed-light-on-feds-interest-rate-path-202406121000\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> strong<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> path towards a <a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/rates-bonds\/fed-expected-hold-rates-steady-project-fewer-cuts-2024-2024-06-12\/\">lower<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0employment rate, a sign of cooling inflation, the FOMC wants to <\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bnnbloomberg.ca\/markets-today-treasury-yields-tumble-as-cpi-fuels-fed-cut-wagers-1.2083910\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">wait<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for more data to come out, states Quincy Krosby from LPL Financial.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And while there have been signs of progress with inflation easing to 2.7%, this is still too high in the eyes of the Fed. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation states that the Fed<\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/06\/12\/fed-meeting-today-on-interest-rate.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> knows<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> conditions are improving, but there isn\u2019t a need to rush with rate cuts.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000;\">The Flip Side of the Fed\u2019s June Announcement<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And yet May\u2019s small uptick in CPI<\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/livecoverage\/fed-rate-decision-dow-flat-as-investors-await-guidance-on-cuts\/card\/may-core-cpi-slowdown-should-see-fed-penciling-in-2-rate-cuts-in-2024-pantheon-s-shepherdson-jxwkaxWN44NeWYV1DP0Q?&amp;mod=u.s.-economic-calendar\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> could<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> mean two quarter-point rate reductions this year, explains Ian Sheperdson, chairman and chief economist at Pantheon Microeconomics. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fed Chairman Powell himself put out a <\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/06\/12\/fed-meeting-today-live-updates-on-june-fed-rate-decision.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">statement<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> saying that \u201c\u2026we are strongly committed to returning inflation to our 2% goal in support of a strong economy that benefits everyone.\u201d <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So indeed, a rate cut could come into play as soon as<\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=\/trading\/interest-rates\/countdown-to-fomc.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> September<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sonu Varghese of Carson Group concurred that two rate cuts could be in play if CPI increases continue at their current rate.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Such a continued trend also would be a good sign for potential Q3 and Q4 rate cuts, <\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/what-todays-inflation-report-means-for-the-federal-reserve-8662170\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">according<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to Scott Anderson, chief U.S. economist at BMO Capital Markets.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000;\">Is Now the Time for Crypto Traders to Buy?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While the pace of rate changes is uncertain, what is certain is that rates will not go up. And with central banks in both Canada and the E.U. cutting rates, the trend is clear. Now could be the time to buy crypto as prices remain depressed.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lower interest rates over time will <\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/impact-of-fed-interest-rates-on-crypto-holders\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fuel<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> spending and investments in speculative assets, which is positive for stocks and crypto over the next 1-2 year time frame.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\">Traders who have been waiting for a bull market rally may not have to wait much longer.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000; font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To stay in the loop for economic topics and how it relates to the crypto world, click <\/span><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.btse.com\/blog\/category\/education\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here!<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000;\"><i>Our aim is to create a platform that offers users the most enjoyable trading experience. If you have any feedback, please reach out to us at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@btse.com\">feedback@btse.com<\/a> or on X <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BTSE_Official\">@BTSE_Official<\/a>.<\/i><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #000000;\"><i>Note: BTSE blog content is intended solely to provide varying insights and perspectives. Unless otherwise noted, they do not represent the views of BTSE and should in no way be treated as investment advice. Markets are volatile, and trading brings rewards and risks. Trade with caution.<\/i><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What Happened with the Fed\u2019s June Announcement? &nbsp; Traders worldwide held their breath yesterday as the Fed announced their decision and outlook for inflation and potential interest rate cuts. While the Fed kept borrowing rates at 5.25-5.5%, in line with expectations, markets were tense as traders were more focused on hearing their outlook for the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10762,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[215,238,237,236,225,228,239],"class_list":["post-10761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-traders","tag-fed","tag-fed-outlook","tag-federal-reserve","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fed Meeting Outlook - What\u2019s Next for Crypto Traders? &#8212; 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