Market Roundup: Bitcoin’s $1.5M Forecast, Record $4.5B ETF Volumes, and Circle Files for IPO

Written by BTSE

January 12, 2024

Market Roundup: Bitcoin's $1.5M Forecast, Record $4.5B ETF Volumes, and Circle Files for IPO

Welcome to our latest Market Roundup. This week has been a historic one in the world of cryptocurrency, especially with major developments surrounding Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Let’s dive into analysts’ views. Although it’s undeniably a watershed moment for the crypto industry, credit-rating agency Moody’s analysts argue that it might not be a game-changer in the wider investment scheme, due to Bitcoin’s relatively small size in most investors’ portfolios. CF Benchmark CEO Sui Chung has, however, stated differently; predicting that the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) by BlackRock might conclude its first trading day with a record $3 billion in inflows, the highest of any ETF, ever. 

The approval of this Bitcoin ETF has made waves in the crypto market. Bitcoin reacted positively, reaching $46,000 at time of writing. But what’s more surprising is how some altcoins outperformed Bitcoin. 

Ethereum (ETH) saw a remarkable 17% increase over the week, outpacing Bitcoin’s rise in response to the ETF news. Altcoins such as XRP and Cardano (ADA) also saw significant gains, with increases of 8% and 18% respectively. This hints at the impact of institutional investment in this space.

This week’s events signify a major leap for the crypto industry, opening up regulated avenues for crypto investments and potentially attracting a new wave of institutional investors. The long-term effects remain to be seen, but the market’s current response is overwhelmingly positive.

Stay tuned for more updates on market movements on the BTSE Blog.


Web3 News


  • Cathie Wood’s Bitcoin Price Forecast: ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood predicted that the price of Bitcoin could soar to $1.5 million by 2030, a 50% increase from her previous forecast of $1 million. This revised prediction follows the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Wood outlines a bullish scenario for Bitcoin’s future, with a base case prediction of $682,800 and a bear case of $258,500. The SEC’s green light for spot ETFs and indicators like higher hash rates and growing Bitcoin addresses support this optimistic outlook​.


  • Record-Breaking Bitcoin ETF Volumes: On their first trading day, new spot Bitcoin ETFs achieved a remarkable $4.5 billion in total volume. BlackRock, Grayscale, and Fidelity led the market, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) processing over $1 billion, amounting to 22% of the total. Despite this impressive debut, it’s important to note that trading volume reflects both inflows and outflows, and doesn’t fully represent the balance of buying versus selling. The high activity signals significant investor interest and movement in the cryptocurrency ETF market​.


  • Circle Files for IPO: Circle Internet Financial, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has filed to sell shares to the public. This move to become a publicly listed company follows the recent approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC. Circle’s decision comes after a previously planned SPAC deal in 2021 fell through. The company, known for its significant presence in the stablecoin market, is making this strategic transition amid a dynamic period for cryptocurrencies, with increased interest and regulatory developments shaping the industry’s future​.


Stories You May Have Missed


  • MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Valuation Surpasses Company Value: MicroStrategy’s holdings in Bitcoin are now valued at over $1 billion more than the company itself. Despite a 20% drop in its stock price this month, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin assets stand at $8.7 billion, outstripping the company’s market value. This development reflects the rising value of Bitcoin in contrast to the company’s stock, especially with the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which offer investors an alternative way to gain Bitcoin exposure. The situation illustrates the unique dynamics of cryptocurrency assets within traditional corporate structures​.


  • Vanguard Bans Bitcoin ETFs: Vanguard has announced a ban on all Bitcoin ETFs on its platform, reflecting a cautious stance towards these products. Despite the SEC’s recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs, Vanguard has restricted purchases, including the popular Grayscale Bitcoin ETF (GBTC). This decision aligns with Vanguard’s investment philosophy and echoes similar restrictive moves in the financial industry, such as Robinhood’s limitations on GameStop trading. The ban has sparked debate over the role of traditional investment firms in the evolving landscape of digital assets and cryptocurrencies.


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Note: BTSE Blog contents are intended solely to provide varying insights and perspectives. Unless otherwise noted, they do not represent the views of BTSE and should in no way be treated as investment advice. Markets are volatile, and trading brings rewards and risks. Trade with caution.

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